Archive

Democrats Focus on Faith Agenda, Activists Interrupt

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 30, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Democrats continued their unprecedented outreach to faith voters in Denver this week as they worked to expand the values issue agenda to include more than hot-button social issues. But after two official faith panels at the Colorado Convention Center on Tuesday, it’s clear that abortion is still…

Jones Will Be Missed by Neighbors

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 29, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Rep. Stephanie Tubbs Jones (D-Ohio), who died last week, was not one of those Members of Congress who makes Washington, D.C., their home and rarely goes back to their district. I know, because I lived above her in a D.C. apartment building for the past five years.

Even though her time in…

New Jersey 5: National Celebrity Doesn’t Equal Victory in House Elections

by Stuart Rothenberg August 28, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

It isn’t difficult to find Democratic Congressional candidates who have a chance of knocking off a GOP incumbent or winning a Republican open seat. Democrats should net at least 10 Congressional seats this November, possibly many more. It is going to be a very good Democratic year at the…

Florida 21: South Florida Race Heats Up in Denver

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 27, 2008 · 3:46 AM EDT

Both parties’ candidates in Florida’s 21st district are in Denver this week, but don’t expect them to cross paths.

“He won’t debate me in Miami, so I’ll debate him here,” former Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez (D) said on the convention floor Monday night. His opponent, Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart…

Should Democrats Be Feeling Any Kind of Buyer’s Remorse?

by Stuart Rothenberg August 26, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

As Democrats kick off their national convention to nominate Illinois Sen. Barack Obama as their nominee for president, there is little or no evidence that activists or insiders are having second thoughts about the party’s standard-bearer.

In other words, buyer’s remorse has not settled in, and…

At the Conventions

August 25, 2008 · 9:45 AM EDT

The entire staff of the Rothenberg Political Report is attending the conventions over the next two weeks. We’ll be posting some of our thoughts and analysis over at RollCall.com, which is free for the conventions, and right here.

New Print Edition: Minnesota Senate & Alabama 5

August 24, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The August 22, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

Beware: Evangelical Polling Ahead

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Evangelicals are in the spotlight for the thousandth time this election cycle, after both Sens. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and John McCain (R-Ariz.) appeared at Rick Warren’s church on Saturday night.

But there is a significant problem with analyzing the evangelical vote. Pollsters can’t seem to…

Summer Polling Often a Poor Predictor

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 22, 2008 · 1:35 PM EDT

House candidates and campaign committees are ramping up efforts to collect polling data from districts across the country, as they look to develop messages and lock in targets for the November elections. But using last cycle as a guide, what looks and smells like a vulnerable incumbent in summer…

What Late Veep Pick?

by Stuart Rothenberg August 21, 2008 · 12:06 AM EDT

I thought it odd last month when there was a flurry of talk about Senators Barack Obama and John McCain possibly announcing their running mates. Make a selection more than a month before the conventions, thereby eliminating the big reason for getting excited in late July and most of August? It…