Archive

Delaware Senate Moved to Lean Takeover

October 6, 2009 · 11:08 AM EDT

Cong. Mike Castle’s (R) entry into the U.S. Senate race to fill the remainder of Vice President Joe Biden’s term dramatically alters the dynamic of the race.

Even if Attorney General Beau Biden (D) runs for the open Senate seat – certainly not guaranteed given the cordial relations between…

New Print Edition: Kentucky Senate & Ohio 12

October 6, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The October 2, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage…

New Jersey Governor: Don’t Believe the Corzine Surge Just Yet

by Stuart Rothenberg October 5, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The gubernatorial race in New Jersey has not changed fundamentally recently, no matter what you may read in poorly produced Associated Press stories distributed by the Democratic Governors Association, the Democratic National Committee or Gov. Jon Corzine’s (D) campaign.

I’ve become accustomed…

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

October 2, 2009 · 2:47 PM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.
# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (5 R, 5 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • FL Open (Crist, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

October 2, 2009 · 2:47 PM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.
# – Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (5 R, 5 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • FL Open (Crist, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • VT…

Kentucky Senate: That’s What He Said

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 2, 2009 · 1:02 PM EDT

Open seats are usually tougher to defend for the incumbent party, but in the case of Kentucky in 2010, Republican strategists are more than happy to start with a clean slate.

Almost immediately after Sen. Jim Bunning (R) narrowly won a second term in 2004, Democrats started thinking about his…

Ohio 12: A Day Late and a Dollar Short?

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 2, 2009 · 1:00 PM EDT

Even Democrat Paula Brooks’s political foes see her as a formidable candidate. But many of them think that she may have chosen the wrong district and the wrong cycle to run for Congress.

Early last cycle, the Democrat explored a run in the open 15th District race. She eventually deferred to…

Parties Solidifying Redistricting Plans

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 1, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Republicans were at risk of falling further behind Democrats in organizing for the post-2010 round of redistricting, but a new group led by former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) and former Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-Miss.) is looking to fill the gap.

Redistricting may seem like a…

In Virginia, Culture War Looks Very Much Alive on One Side

by Stuart Rothenberg September 28, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Somebody needs to tell Virginia gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds that the “culture wars” are over. Apparently, he didn’t get the memo.

Deeds is banking on completing his comeback in this year’s Virginia gubernatorial race by portraying Republican nominee Bob McDonnell, the commonwealth’s…

Seniors, Health Care and Their Impact on the 2010 Midterms

by Stuart Rothenberg September 24, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The nation’s two main political parties are a little like an old married couple. Both are carrying chips on their shoulders from past slights and injustices, real and imagined. It’s all about “getting even” these days — plus a dose of short-term politics for good measure.

The current fight over…