Inside Elections

2012 Senate Ratings (March 9, 2012)

March 9, 2012 · 1:56 PM EST

2012 Gubernatorial Ratings (March 9, 2012)

March 9, 2012 · 1:55 PM EST

2012 RPR Electoral Vote Estimate (March 9, 2012) Romney vs. Obama

March 9, 2012 · 1:55 PM EST

For Mitt Romney, a Good Night but Not a Knockout

by Stuart Rothenberg March 9, 2012 · 10:19 AM EST

More than two months after the race for the Republican nomination began in Iowa, the contest remains stuck. That’s both good and bad news for the leader in the Republican race.

No one in the GOP contest is able to overtake Mitt Romney, but the former Massachusetts governor seems incapable of…

Ohio Primaries: Two Incumbents Fall, But Beware of the Anti-Incumbent Hype

by Jessica Taylor March 7, 2012 · 12:54 PM EST

Republican cartographers guaranteed that one incumbent would lose in Tuesday’s primaries in Ohio when they drew two Democratic Members into the same district. But few people expected Republicans to lose one of their own.

In the 9th District, Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur handily defeated her…

Nebraska and Hawaii: Studying Senate Handicapping

by Stuart Rothenberg March 7, 2012 · 8:00 AM EST

There is no single “right” way to handicap a race.

You can evaluate where the race is at a particular moment and “rate” what you see. Or, after noting the candidates’ current standing, you can make an informed projection about how the race will play out, changing your rating if and when events…

Republican Roller Coaster Ride Continues

by Stuart Rothenberg March 2, 2012 · 1:54 PM EST

Has the Republican race reached a tipping point, with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney re-establishing himself as the solid favorite for the Republican nomination and former Sen. Rick Santorum (Pa.) and former Speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.) slipping awfully close to the “long shot” category?…

Latino Prospects in Senate Dwindle

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 1, 2012 · 1:47 PM EST

Latinos are growing into a powerful voting bloc, but there is the real possibility that the U.S. Senate won’t have any additional Hispanics next year.

Last year, a handful of Latinos had an opportunity to get elected and join Florida’s Marco Rubio and New Jersey’s Bob Menendez as the only…

Nebraska Senate: Back to Republican Favored After Kerrey Decision

February 29, 2012 · 3:26 PM EST

Former Sen. Bob Kerrey’s last-minute reversal to get into the Nebraska Senate race is reason to re-evaluate our rating.

In the last week’s edition of RPR, we moved the Nebraska race to Safe for the Republicans based on the lack of credible Democratic candidates, but we also wrote that Kerrey,…

2012 Senate Ratings (February 29, 2012)

February 29, 2012 · 3:25 PM EST