Archive

California House: Tough Road for Democrats Gets Tougher

June 6, 2012 · 11:59 AM EDT

California has long been the cornerstone of the Democrats’ long-shot path to take back the House, but that already uphill plan got even more difficult on Tuesday, with two of the party’s best pick-up opportunities now off the table and a third once-prime seat starting off at a disadvantage.

The…

Wisconsin Recall: Badger State Still a Battleground

by Jessica Taylor June 6, 2012 · 11:58 AM EDT

Republican Gov. Scott Walker fended off the recall effort against him more easily than expected on Tuesday, beating Democrat Tom Barrett yet again -- and by a slightly larger margin than he did in 2010. Walker prevailed 52 percent to 47 percent last cycle compared to 54 percent to 46 percent on…

New Jersey House: Pascrell Returns, Payne Jr. Continues Father’s Legacy

by Jessica Taylor June 6, 2012 · 11:57 AM EDT

The biggest surprise in the Steve Rothman vs. Bill Pascrell grudge match wasn’t the victor, but the margin.

Despite having a slight territorial disadvantage, Pascrell racked up a huge 90 percent edge in his home base of Passaic County to cruise past his Democratic colleague by more than 20…

New Mexico: Senate Race Set, Grisham Wins Three-Way Primary

by Jessica Taylor June 6, 2012 · 11:57 AM EDT

The Republican candidate that cries “conservative” the loudest doesn’t always win the primary.

Child care center owner Greg Sowards, who had the support of Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), tried to run to the right of Heather Wilson but the former congresswoman prevailed with almost 70 percent of the…

Voters Set General Election Stage in Montana, South Dakota

by Jessica Taylor June 6, 2012 · 11:56 AM EDT

The stage is set for a competitive governor’s race in Montana this fall, with both Attorney General Steve Bullock (D) and former Rep. Rick Hill (R) easily dispatching with their primary challengers. We continue to rate the race as a Pure Toss-Up as Republicans try to take the governorship after…

Arizona 8 Special: Giffords’ Shadow, Not Foreshadow

by Jessica Taylor June 5, 2012 · 1:54 PM EDT

On paper, the Arizona special election should be, and likely is, razor tight. But good luck finding another special election with such unique circumstances as the vote to succeed former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, who resigned in January after she was shot at a constituent event a year earlier.

New York House: Empire State of Mind

by Jessica Taylor June 1, 2012 · 11:59 AM EDT

After the 2010 elections, New York sent six GOP freshman to Congress -- more than any other state. But most of them won close, upset contests and after redistricting didn’t do Republicans any favors, Democrats believe their fortunes improve in a presidential year and with a new congressional map…

Illinois 13: Someone Old, Somone New

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 1, 2012 · 11:58 AM EDT

Just because the primary is over doesn’t mean the general election matchup is set in stone. Rep. Tim Johnson won the GOP nomination on March 20 in the redrawn 13th District of Illinois but announced his retirement from Congress two weeks later.

Johnson cited family reasons, but some sources…

Georgia 12: If at First You Don’t Succeed…

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 1, 2012 · 11:57 AM EDT

Georgia’s 12th District has a history of not doing what it’s “supposed” to do, and this year may not be any different. Over the last ten years, both Republicans and Democrats have tried to manipulate the district’s lines to elect one of their own. In each case they’ve failed. 

Republicans…