What Happened and What’s Next after the 2024 Elections?

The 2024 elections were going to humble one party, and voters called Democrats to the carpet. It will take days to get final results and probably weeks before there’s a full understanding of what happened, but there are more than a few points that can be made in the wake of elections.

History Making
Donald Trump will be the first person to be elected president after being defeated since Grover Cleveland in the late 1800s. Trump is also the oldest person ever elected president (he’s older than Biden was in 2020). And Trump is the first convicted felon ever elected president.

It wasn’t a surprise.
Unlike 2016, no one was making firm declarations about who was going to get elected president in 2024. The national polling showed an even race between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris and the candidates were locked in the seven swing states. Only the foolish were ruling out a Trump victory. 

We even wrote about how it could feel like a landslide if the election shifted a few points in one direction and one candidate swept the toss-up states. Trump might not sweep them, but he’s coming close. Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan and Nevada have been called for Trump by at least one major media entity. Arizona remains outstanding. Without those states, Trump is at 295 Electoral College votes. (He received 304 in his 2016 win.)

But it was kind of a surprise.
What was surprising was the breadth of Trump's victory across so many demographics. He…

Outlier or Early Warning? Late Iowa Poll Confounds

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2024 · 4:39 PM EST

2024 Elections Will be Close, Probably…Maybe

October 31, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

Senate Report Shorts (October 31, 2024)

October 31, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

House Report Shorts (October 31, 2024)

October 31, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Pennsylvania 8 Poll: Carry On, Cartwright

by Jacob Rubashkin October 29, 2024 · 5:08 PM EDT

2024 Elections Coming Down to the Wire

October 18, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

Reports by State

United States Map Select a State