New York Redistricting: Big Apple, Small Changes

After two years of legal challenges, a torpedoed judicial nomination, an electoral wipeout, and a flurry of legislative activity, New York finally has a congressional map in place for the rest of the decade.

Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul signed the Empire State’s new congressional map into law this week, capping off a saga that began when the state’s high court tossed out a Democratic-drawn gerrymander in 2022 and crescendoed later that year when Republicans flipped four House seats using a map drawn by a court-appointed special master.

The map Democrats ultimately passed is a far cry from the gerrymander that the state legislature attempted in early 2022, and in fact differs only slightly in partisanship from the special master’s map used last cycle — an outcome that surprised many observers, given the drama surrounding the legal challenges Democrats used to get another chance to draw the lines.

Some Democratic strategists in Washington, DC and New York had hoped that state legislators would more forcefully target as many as seven Republican-held seats with the new map, perhaps as a counterbalance to an aggressive Republican gerrymander in North Carolina that will net the GOP up to 4 seats. But those hopes went largely unfulfilled, with one exception.

The new map remains highly competitive for both parties, with seven seats beginning on the battlefield. Given the limited changes in district-level partisanship, Inside Elections is shifting just one race in…

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