House Ratings

October 13, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Battling Democrat Bill Owens, the DCCC, Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman, and the Club for Growth, it’s getting tougher to see how Dede Scozzafava (R) and the NRCC keep this seat in GOP hands. Read more about the race in Stu’s Roll Call column. We’re moving the race from Pure Toss-Up to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic, which would be a takeover for the Democrats.

And we’re moving Cong. Alan Grayson (D- Florida’s 8th District) from Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic to Pure Toss-Up. But the Republican nomination remains up in the air.

Here are our latest House ratings. 2009 races in italics.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* – Moved benefiting Republicans

Pure Toss-Up (2 R, 12 D)
  • AL 2 (Bright, D)
  • FL 8 (Grayson, D) *
  • ID 1 (Minnick, D)
  • IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
  • MD 1 (Kratovil, D)
  • MS 1 (Childers, D)
  • NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
  • NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
  • NM 2 (Teague, D)
  • OH 1 (Driehaus, D)
  • OH 15 (Kilroy, D)
  • PA 6 (Open; Gerlach, R)
  • PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
  • VA 5 (Periello, D)
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (1 R, 1 D)
  • LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
  • WA 8 (Reichert, R)
Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (1 R, 4 D)
  • CO 4 (Markey, D)
  • FL 24 (Kosmas, D)
  • IL 14 (Foster, D)
  • MI 7 (Schauer, D)
  • NY 23 (Open; McHugh, R) #

Lean Republican (2 R, 0 D)

  • CA 3 (Lungren, R)
  • CA 44 (Calvert, R)
Lean Democratic (0 R, 3 D)
  • AL 5 (Griffith, D)
  • NY 24 (Arcuri, D)
  • NY 29 (Massa, D)

Republican Favored (9 R, 0 D)

  • AK A-L (Young, R)
  • CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
  • MI 11 (McCotter, R)
  • MN 3 (Paulsen, R)
  • MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
  • NE 2 (Terry, R)
  • OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
  • OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
  • PA 15 (Dent, R)
Democrat Favored (2 R, 11 D)
  • AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
  • CA 47 (Sanchez, D)
  • DE A-L (Open; Castle, R)
  • GA 8 (Marshall, D)
  • LA 2 (Cao, R)
  • MO 4 (Skelton, D)
  • NY 19 (Hall, D)
  • NY 20 (Murphy, D)
  • NC 8 (Kissell, D)
  • OH 18 (Space, D)
  • PA 10 (Carney, D)
  • TX 17 (Edwards, D)
  • VA 2 (Nye, D)

Total seats in play: 48
Republican seats: 17
Democratic seats: 31