Redistricting News & Analysis

Montana Redistricting: Back Two the Future

by Jacob Rubashkin November 24, 2021 · 10:15 AM EST

When Montana was assigned an additional congressional district earlier this year, it didn’t just double its representation in the U.S. House. It made history, with Big Sky Country becoming the first state ever to bounce back to multiple members after previously being reduced to one at-large district.

Montana lost its…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Good to Great for GOP

November 19, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans are positioned to have somewhere between a good and great set of midterm elections in 2022, and either scenario should deliver the House majority to the GOP. 

With historical midterm trends, redistricting and the current political environment in Republicans’ favor, and the…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Alabama - Iowa

November 19, 2021 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). Gov. Kay Ivey, a Republican, signed Alabama’s new map into law on Nov. 4. The new lines maintain the status quo partisan balance, with six Solid Republican seats and one Solid Democratic, majority-Black seat (Rep. Terri Sewell’s…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Kansas - New York

November 19, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Kansas is still in the preliminary stages of redistricting, but the 3rd District, represented by Democrat Sharice Davids, needs to lose some population due to growth in the Kansas City suburbs. It’s not yet clear if Republicans will…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): North Carolina - Wyoming

November 19, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). North Carolina’s GOP-held legislature passed a new map into law without the signature of Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper, who is powerless in the redistricting process. North Carolina Republicans…

Texas Redistricting: A Lone Swing Seat in the Lone Star State?

by Bradley Wascher November 15, 2021 · 1:09 PM EST

One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved a plan…

Iowa Redistricting: Republicans Looking for the Sweep

by Jacob Rubashkin November 11, 2021 · 10:15 AM EST

Republicans defeated two of the three Democratic members in Iowa in 2020 and are hoping to finish the job next year. Beating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne would give the GOP full control of the four-member delegation and a net gain of one seat on their march to the majority. 

After…

West Virginia Redistricting: When the Music Stops

by Jacob Rubashkin October 27, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

In April it was written, and in October it was sealed. 2022 will see at least one member-vs.-member House race.

Back in the spring, census data confirmed that West Virginia’s population had shrunk 3 percent since 2010, and that it would lose one of its three congressional districts in the…

Nebraska Redistricting: Bacon Not Out of the Frying Pan

by Jacob Rubashkin October 18, 2021 · 10:33 AM EDT

For members of Congress who find themselves in politically unfriendly districts, the decennial redistricting process can be an opportunity to shore up their position, either by adding new, more favorable voters, or removing less favorable ones.

But not for GOP Rep. Don Bacon of Nebraska.

The retired Air Force brigadier…

Oregon Redistricting: (Mostly) Good News for Democrats

by Bradley Wascher October 14, 2021 · 1:13 PM EDT

On Sept. 27, following a dramatic dispute between members of the Oregon House of Representatives, and just hours before control of redistricting would have shifted to the state Supreme Court, Oregon became the first state to approve a new congressional map for the next decade. 

The Beaver State…