House News & Analysis

Candidate Conversation - Martin Babinec (I)

May 19, 2016 · 2:51 PM EDT

Candidate for New York’s 22nd District

Interview Date: May 11, 2016

Date of Birth: March 1, 1955; Little Falls, N.Y.

Education: Shippensburg Univ. (1977); Herkimer County Community College (A.A.)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Babinec is a wild card in a competitive race to replace…

Don’t Assume Paul Ryan Will be Speaker Next Year

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 19, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

Stu and I have been working together for nearly 15 years and any acute political instincts I’ve developed I owe to him. In many ways, we’ve morphed into the same mind, including our valuations of players in fantasy baseball. But after reading Stu’s column, “Ryan Rides to the Rescue…

Why House Democrats Need Trump to be President

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 16, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

Some Democrats are downright giddy about facing Donald Trump and his sizable unfavorable ratings in November. But the party may need to lose the presidential election in order to have a chance of controlling the House at some point over the next decade.  

If Hillary Clinton is elected…

Why California Members Embrace Incumbent Ballot Designation

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 10, 2016 · 10:08 AM EDT

With congressional job approval hovering in the low teens, giving incumbents the opportunity to choose three words to describe themselves, and to refer to their current office, might seem like asking them to choose the words for their tombstone. But it’s a biennial tradition for the California delegation.

In…

Donald Trump is the GOP Nominee. Now What?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 5, 2016 · 10:00 AM EDT

Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee for president in 2016.  

Looking back for the answer to “How did we get here?” and forward to handicapping the general election, one word stands out: assumptions.

There was an assumption that once voters were reminded of any number of ways…

Fresh Primary Results, Six Fresh Faces for Next Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 5, 2016 · 9:56 AM EDT

A handful of recent primaries in relatively safe districts adds a half-dozen likely new Members to the 115th Congress next year. 

Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi was the first new Member after winning the March primary in Illinois’ 8th District, which leans Democratic. Now he’s not alone in a class of…

Candidate Conversation - Claudia Tenney (R)

May 5, 2016 · 9:55 AM EDT

Candidate for New York’s 22nd District

Interview Date: April 26, 2016

Date of Birth: Feb. 4, 1961; Utica, N.Y.

Education: Colgate Univ. (B.A. 1983)

Political Office: State Assembly

Current Outlook: Tenney is a top contender for the Republican nomination in the race to replace retiring-Rep. Richard Hanna, who is regarded…

Candidate Conversation - Joe McDermott (D)

May 5, 2016 · 9:54 AM EDT

Candidate for Washington’s 7th District

Interview Date: April 21, 2016

Date of Birth: July 1, 1967; Seattle, Wash.

Education: Gonzaga Univ. (B.A. 1989); Univ. of Washington (M.P.P. 1997)

Political Office: King County Councilman; state Senate (former); state House (former) 

Current Outlook: McDermott is a top contender for retiring Rep. Jim…

Ryan Rides to the Rescue — But Not Until 2020

by Stuart Rothenberg May 4, 2016 · 3:30 PM EDT

I recently asked a veteran Republican strategist how his party picks up the pieces after what now looks to be a very difficult 2016 election. His answer was quick and decisive: Paul Ryan.

If November’s elections are as messy for the GOP as they now appear, with Republicans failing…

16 House Districts That Will Make (or Break) Democratic Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2016 · 10:35 AM EDT

As Democratic chances of taking back the House improve with Donald Trump at the top of the GOP ticket, Democratic party strategists are trying to figure out exactly how and where it’s going to happen. It’s not too difficult to see Democrats gaining 10, or even 20, seats in…