House News & Analysis

Report Shorts (September 1, 2023)

September 1, 2023 · 10:26 AM EDT

Arizona Senate. 2022 Senate candidate Blake Masters plans to run again, according to the Wall Street Journal. He joins Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb in the GOP primary — and 2022 gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is still mulling a Senate campaign too. Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema has yet to announce…

North Carolina 8: Bishop’s Move Opens Seat

by Erin Covey August 18, 2023 · 1:58 PM EDT

Nearly five years ago, a rare case of verified election fraud paved the path for Republican Dan Bishop’s election to Congress. Bishop is now leaving Washington to run for the state’s attorney general office — and the candidate at the center of the election fraud scandal is mulling a comeback.

Report Shorts (August 18, 2023)

August 18, 2023 · 1:57 PM EDT

California’s 13th District. Former state Assemblyman Adam Gray is running against freshman Republican John Duarte in this Central Valley district Democrats need to win to retake the majority. In 2022, Duarte beat Gray by 564 votes in the second-closest House race in the country. Toss-up.

Iowa’s 1st District. Former state…

Virginia 7: Another House Democrat Eyes the Exits

by Erin Covey August 3, 2023 · 4:00 PM EDT

Abigail Spanberger’s name has long been at the top of the list of Democrats who could run to succeed term-limited Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin in 2025. But Politico’s report that the congresswoman won’t run for re-election in 2024 as she prepares a gubernatorial campaign complicates Democrats’ ability to hold this…

Report Shorts (July 28, 2023)

July 28, 2023 · 2:26 PM EDT

Alabama Redistricting. Alabama Republicans have passed a new congressional map — but it probably won’t hold up in court. Federal judges ordered the state to produce a map that created two majority Black districts, or “something quite close to it.” The map signed into law by Republican Gov. Kay Ivey…

New York 17: Hudson Valley Hullabaloo

by Jacob Rubashkin July 14, 2023 · 1:29 PM EDT

New York’s picturesque 17th District was home to one of the most notable upsets of 2022. As House Democrats exceeded expectations across the country, their campaign chief, Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, could not hold on to his Hudson Valley seat, losing a nailbiter to state Assemblyman Mike Lawler.

Democrats were…

Report Shorts (July 14, 2023)

July 14, 2023 · 1:28 PM EDT

Alaska’s At-Large District. Nick Begich, the Republican candidate who came in third place in the top-four primary for Alaska’s open House seat last cycle, announced his campaign on Thursday. Considering President Donald Trump won Alaska by 10 points in 2020, Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola is vulnerable for re-election. But Alaska’s…

House Rematches: Second Time’s the Charm?

by Erin Covey July 10, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

A bevy of congressional candidates who lost competitive races in 2022 are waging comebacks, hopeful that they’ve learned from their mistakes last cycle and can close the gap next November.

Several repeat challengers announced their 2024 plans over the past week, though they’ve been gearing up for campaigns behind the…

New Jersey 7: Raising Kean

by Jacob Rubashkin June 30, 2023 · 1:30 PM EDT

New Jersey’s 7th District is almost exactly the kind of seat Democrats need to win to take back the House in 2024. 

The party’s path back to the majority runs squarely through the 18 districts represented by Republicans that Joe Biden would have carried in the 2020 presidential election, districts…

Oregon 5: A Battleground Race Around the Bend

by Erin Covey June 30, 2023 · 1:29 PM EDT

A competitive Democratic primary helped deliver Oregon’s 5th District into GOP hands in 2022. Democrats are determined to take it back in 2024, but are dealing with another potentially contentious intra-party fight ahead of the general election.

Rep. Kurt Schrader, a Blue Dog Democrat with a penchant for bucking his…