House News & Analysis

Rating Change: Democratic Challenger Puts Utah Seat Into Play

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 18, 2017 · 8:20 PM EDT

It’s not hard to see Democratic takeover opportunities in districts where Hillary Clinton prevailed or Donald Trump won narrowly in 2016, but Democrats have expanded the map with at least a couple recruits who should make Republicans work to defend some deeper red territory next year. 
 
Former…

Iowa House: Democrats Take Another Swing at 1st and 3rd Districts

by Leah Askarinam October 13, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

The last time Democrats held the House majority, they controlled 60 percent of the congressional districts in Iowa. Today, they’re down to 25 percent, and probably need to win at least one, if not two, districts in The Hawkeye State to get back to the majority.

The 1st and 3rd…

Candidate Conversation - Hans Keirstead (D)

October 13, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

Candidate for California’s 48th District

Interview Date: Oct. 11, 2017

Date of Birth: April 21, 1967; Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Education: Univ. of British Columbia (Bachelors 1994, Phd 1998) 

Political Office: None, first run for office

Current Outlook: Keirstead is a top contender against Dana Rohrabacher, one of 2018’s most…

Candidate Conversation - Mikie Sherrill (D)

October 13, 2017 · 2:27 PM EDT

Candidate for New Jersey’s 11th District

Interview Date: Oct. 11, 2017

Date of Birth: Jan. 19, 1972; Alexandria, Va. 

Education: U.S. Naval Academy (1994), Georgetown Law School, London School of Economics 

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Sherrill is running to unseat GOP Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen in…

Candidate Conversation - Austin Petersen (R)

October 13, 2017 · 2:26 PM EDT

Republican Candidate for Senate in Missouri

Interview Date: Sept. 15, 2017

Date of Birth: Feb. 19, 1981; Independence, Mo.

Education: Missouri State Univ. (2003)

Political Office: None; 2016 presidential candidate, Libertarian Party 
Current Outlook: There could be space for a Trump-style, former-Libertarian candidate in the Senate race, and Petersen…

Candidate Conversation - Chrissy Houlahan (D)

October 13, 2017 · 2:25 PM EDT

Candidate for Pennsylvania’s 6th

Interview Date: Oct. 11, 2016

Date of Birth: June 5, 1967; Patuxent River, Md. 

Education: Stanford Univ. (1989), MIT (Master’s, 1994)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Rep. Ryan Costello is one of the 23 Republicans who represents a district that Hillary Clinton…

New Hampshire 1: Open Seat Moves to Toss-Up

October 6, 2017 · 2:15 PM EDT

Democratic Rep. Carol Shea-Porter’s retirement leaves an already competitive seat more vulnerable as an open seat, considering Donald Trump carried New Hampshire’s 1st District 48-46 percent in 2016. 
 
“I felt the tug of family at our reunion on Independence Day, and I have continued to feel it,”…

What Happened to Mountain Republicans in the South?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 3, 2017 · 1:11 PM EDT

Even when Democrats dominated the so-called Solid South, the GOP showed strength in mountain areas of the region. Northwestern Arkansas, eastern Tennessee, western North Carolina and western Virginia all had substantial Republican sympathies.

But now that the national Republican Party has transitioned from the Party of Lincoln to the party…

LGBTQ Women Balance Opportunity, Possible Extinction in Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 21, 2017 · 9:41 AM EDT

It’s been almost 20 years since Tammy Baldwin’s historic election, yet just one woman has followed her through the LGBTQ glass ceiling. And if both women lose competitive races in 2018, the next Congress could be without any LGBTQ women.

While the lack of LGBTQ women in Congress is inextricably…

Kansas 2nd and 3rd:  A Sliver of Blue in Trump Country?

by Leah Askarinam September 15, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

At the moment, it’s good to be a Republican in Kansas. Since 2010, Republicans have won every statewide election and the GOP holds all six of Kansas’s federal offices, including both Senate seats and the state’s four congressional districts.

But President Donald Trump’s mediocre job rating will test the Republican…