House News & Analysis
New Print Edition: Ohio 16 & Virginia Senate
November 17, 2007 · 12:05 AM EST
The November 16, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well…
Fate of ’06 House Takeovers May Mirror ’08 Party Prospects
November 14, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST
One of the reasons that some National Republican Congressional Committee strategists are hopeful of gaining seats next year, or at least minimizing further losses, is that they expect to win back some of the House seats that the party lost in last year’s Democratic wave.
In any wave…
Illinois 14: New Lauzen Poll Shows Dead Heat
November 6, 2007 · 4:26 PM EST
Chris Lauzen (R) is pushing back against some conventional wisdom, and has numbers to make his case. The state senator is running to replace former House Speaker Dennis Hastert in Illinois 14, but faces a very competitive primary with wealthy businessman Jim Oberweis (R).
An October 22-23 Public Opinion Strategies…
Here We Go Again: An Anti-Incumbent Wave Next Year?
November 1, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
Some story lines never go away.
This year, once again, there is buzz that 2008 might be an anti-incumbent election that will sweep out sitting House Members of both parties. National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Cole (Okla.) has been making that case for months, and more than…
Rothenberg Highlights Dangerous Not Quite Dozen Open Seats
October 29, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
For a number of cycles now, I’ve periodically focused on open House seats as a way of evaluating the direction of the overall cycle. No, there still aren’t a dozen open seats that could possibly flip party control. But there are enough open seats worth rating. The list below…
New Print Edition: New Hampshire Senate & New York 19
October 24, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
The October 22, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well…
Republican Recruiting
October 23, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
In the face of growing dissatisfaction with the Iraq War and President Bush, Republicans have recruited an increasing number of military veterans to run for Congress in 2008 — including some soldiers currently serving overseas who will begin campaigning upon their return.
Those Republican veterans may be emboldened…
Mood Money GOP Retirements = Democratic Bonanza
October 22, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
Still more than a year out from the 2008 elections, only a fool would assert unequivocally which party will gain House seats and how large that gain will be. But even with more retirements likely and candidate recruitment still far from over, it is starting to look like another…
Have the Republicans Picked Another Losing Fight on SCHIP?
October 15, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
The Republicans’ circular firing squad is now assembled. All that’s left is for someone — President Bush, House Minority Leader John Boehner (Ohio) or Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) — to yell the appropriate command: “Fire!”
With their House and Senate caucuses deeply divided, Republicans have one…