House News & Analysis

New Print Edition: 2010 House Outlook

June 2, 2009 · 11:23 AM EDT
The May 29, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings,…

Mississippi 1: Returning to Form?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Winning has consequences. After winning 53 seats in the House over the last four years, Democrats find themselves defending a number of Republican-leaning seats, including Mississippi’s 1st District.

Democrat Travis Childers was first elected in a 2008 special election, taking over a GOP seat and providing another clue…

California 10: Waiting for Tauscher

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

A handful of Northern California Democrats are praying that Cong. Ellen Tauscher (D) paid her taxes on time.

President Barack Obama nominated the moderate congresswoman to be undersecretary of arms control and international security at the State Department. And while she has yet to be confirmed, the lack…

South Carolina 1: We Didn’t Start the Fire

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Early last fall, it looked as if South Carolina Cong. Henry Brown (R) was on the fast track to involuntary involvement. He hadn’t faced a Democratic opponent in years, let alone a serious one, when he was suddenly confronted with a well-funded challenger and a national wave that was…

New Hampshire 1: Politics Goes On

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Two years ago, Carol Shea-Porter rode the Democratic wave into Congress. And she would have been swept out last cycle had she not learned some critical lessons.

Shea-Porter defeated incumbent Cong. Jeb Bradley (R) without the help of the national party in 2006, so she initially rejected party…

Florida 8: Magical World of Politics

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

It was bad enough last fall for Republicans to lose another 21 House seats, but they even lost Disney World. Now, GOPers are hoping out-spoken freshman Cong. Alan Grayson (D) will help make their dreams of taking back Florida’s 8th District come true by saying something outlandish.


California 32: Race Matters?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

When President Barack Obama plucked Cong. Hilda Solis (D) from the House for his cabinet, he left Democrats with an open seat to defend. But unlike the special election in upstate New York, Democrats are in no danger of losing this Southern California seat.

State Sen. Gil Cedillo…

February 20, 2009 House Overview

by Stuart Rothenberg February 20, 2009 · 12:00 PM EST

The 2010 election cycle begins at such an unusual time in American history that it’s hard to know where to begin.

The nation is in a deep recession, created by a housing and financial meltdown. Congress just passed a huge spending package, and more spending by the federal…

Louisiana 4: Fight to the Finish

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2008 · 2:01 PM EST

It’s a good thing that Louisiana voters are used to going to the polls in December. Even though the state junked the jungle primary for more traditional primaries, Hurricane Gustav pushed the races back a month. Now, voters will go to the polls in Northwest Louisiana’s 4th Congressional District…

2008 House Overview (October 31, 2008)

October 31, 2008 · 11:29 AM EDT

As Election Day nears, we see no reason to veer from the view that we have held for months – that the 2008 House elections will give Democrats another big victory. Some Democratic challengers and open seat hopefuls already are over 50% in polling, but many are still in…