House News & Analysis

Florida House: Turning up the Heat

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 13, 2012 · 12:57 AM EDT

It’s no surprise that Florida is one of the key states to watch in November, but the Sunshine State is playing a particularly critical role in the fight for the House.

Democrats have focused their effort to win back the majority on three states: Florida, California, and Illinois.…

Campaigns to Compete for Ads During Olympic Games

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 12, 2012 · 9:35 AM EDT

There’s good news on the horizon for attention-deprived candidates: Millions of voters will soon be glued to their television screens in a normally dead time for campaign advertising.

The bad news is that it’s the Summer Olympics, and candidates and outside groups will have to spend a premium…

2012 Candidates: the Good, the Bad, the Ugly

by Stuart Rothenberg July 3, 2012 · 9:30 AM EDT

While I interview more than a hundred candidates each election cycle, I don’t evaluate them the way the average politically interested observer does. I don’t care about their ideology or their views on issues — except to the extent that their views make it easier or harder for them…

Fall Elections Shape Future Rosters

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 1, 2012 · 11:00 AM EDT

Pulled muscles and back injuries are nothing compared to the devastation the fall elections could inflict on the rosters for the 2013 edition of the CQ Roll Call Congressional Baseball Game.

This year could be the final game for more than a dozen Members of Congress who face…

Congressional Democrats’ Pennsylvania Problem

by Stuart Rothenberg June 29, 2012 · 3:48 PM EDT

As Democrats struggle to net 25 seats and win back the House majority in November, no single state reflects the party’s challenges more than Pennsylvania.

After all, Pennsylvania has gone Democratic in the past five presidential contests, and the apparent movement of the Philadelphia suburbs away from the…

House Battleground: Four Months To Go

by Stuart Rothenberg June 29, 2012 · 12:10 AM EDT

While Democrats continue to insist that the House is “in play” in November, a dispassionate assessment of individual districts in all 50 states suggests Republicans remain solid favorites to retain control of the House in November’s elections.

The Democrats’ difficulties are magnified by President Obama’s growing problems, including…

2012 House Overview (June 29, 2012) Alabama-Florida

June 29, 2012 · 12:04 AM EDT

Alabama (6R, 1D)
A couple GOP primaries saw sparks but no fire, but that’s the most excitement Alabama will see this year.

Alaska (1R) August 28 primary.
Rep. Don Young (R) had $552,000 in the bank on March 31. No other candidate had more…

2012 House Overview (June 29, 2012) Georgia - New York

June 29, 2012 · 12:03 AM EDT

Georgia (8R, 5D – gaining 1 new seat) July 31 primary, August 21 runoff.
GA 9 (Open; new).
State Rep. Doug Collins and radio talk show host Martha Zoller are battling it out in the GOP primary for this new, safe GOP seat. Collins is expected to get…

2012 House Overview (June 29, 2012) North Carolina - Wyoming

June 29, 2012 · 12:02 AM EDT

North Carolina (6R, 7D) July 17 runoff.
NC 7 (McIntyre, D).
Democrat Mike McIntyre’s district became slightly more Republican in redistricting, even though a third of the district is new territory for him. But if only one endangered Tar Heel Democrat survives, it will be McIntyre. National Republicans…

Oklahoma House: Incumbent Sullivan’s Unexpected Loss

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 27, 2012 · 11:57 AM EDT

In one of the most surprising outcomes of this election cycle, Rep. John Sullivan lost in the GOP primary in Oklahoma’s 1st District. Like his colleague in Ohio, Rep. Jean Schmidt, Sullivan didn’t take his primary race seriously enough from the beginning and, by the time he figured out…