House News & Analysis

2018 House Overview (May 16, 2018) North Carolina - Wyoming

May 16, 2018 · 8:57 AM EDT

North Carolina.

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman ($63,000 on April 18) won the Democratic nomination and could complicate her party’s chances because her primary opponent was personally wealthy. Holding ($285,000), who has some personal money, could become more…

Candidate Conversation - Clarke Tucker (D)

May 16, 2018 · 8:56 AM EDT

Arkansas’ 2nd District — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: May 10, 2018

Date of Birth: Jan. 20, 1981; Little Rock, Ark. 

Education: Harvard College (2003), Univ. of Arkansas law school (2006)

Elected Office: State House (2014-present) 

Current Outlook: State Rep. Clarke Tucker gives Democrats a credible challenger against GOP Rep. French…

Candidate Conversation - Paul Martin (R)

May 16, 2018 · 8:55 AM EDT

California’s 48th District - Rating: Tilt Republican

Interview Date: April 25, 2018

Date of Birth: July 9, 1965; Whittier, Calif.

Education: UCLA (Bachelor’s, 2003); Biola Univ. (Master’s 2008); Orange Coast Community College (attended)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Early in the cycle, national Democrats touted biologist Hans…

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

by Stuart Rothenberg May 14, 2018 · 11:37 AM EDT

Yes, it’s time for another of my “dangerous dozen open House seats” columns, which I have been writing since shortly after the establishment of the Jamestown Settlement (or so it seems).

This cycle’s version has a plethora of seats to choose from, given the 38 Republican and 19 Democratic seats…

Ohio Primaries: Republicans Choose Brown Challenger

May 9, 2018 · 12:21 AM EDT

Senate. Sherrod Brown (D) elected 2006 (56%), 2012 (51%). Rep. Jim Renacci won the GOP nomination in the least suspenseful Senate primary of the night, defeating investment banker Mike Gibbons 47-32 percent. Renacci was also the only GOP congressman to be victorious in a Senate primary last night, as West…

West Virginia Primaries: Morrisey to take on Manchin for Senate

May 9, 2018 · 12:16 AM EDT

Senate. Joe Manchin (D) elected 2010 special (53%), 2012 (61%). Former coal company CEO Don Blankenship, who served a year in prison, enjoyed a few days in the national spotlight as a serious contender for the GOP nomination. But state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey prevailed with 35 percent over Rep.…

North Carolina Primaries: Pittenger Falls, 9th Shifts Toward Democrats

May 8, 2018 · 11:10 PM EDT

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman won the Democratic nomination over tech entrepreneur Ken Romley and will face the incumbent Republican in the general election. The race has been included in the broadest discussion of competitive seats, but Coleman’s…

House Ratings Changes: Democrats’ Open Seat Opportunities

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

It’s dangerous to extrapolate too much from any single special election, but the trend is clear across nearly all of the special elections over the past year: Democrats are over-performing and Republicans are struggling to hold open seats.

Democrats’ over-performance hasn’t been limited by geography, considering Democrats have done better…

Candidate Conversation - Deb Haaland (D)

May 4, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

New Mexico’s 1st District —  Rating: Solid Democratic 

Interview Date: April 17, 2018

Date of Birth: Dec. 2, 1960; Winslow, Ariz.

Education: Univ. of New Mexico (1994, law school 2006)

Elected Office: None; 2014 nominee for lieutenant governor 

Current Outlook: Haaland is a top contender for Michelle Lujan Grisham’s Albuquerque-based…

Candidate Conversation - Cresent Hardy (R)

May 4, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Nevada’s 4th District — Rating: Likely Democratic

Interview Date: March 13, 2018

Date of Birth: June 23, 1957; Mesquite, Nev. 

Education: Dixie State Univ. 

Elected Office: U.S. House (former, 2011-12); state Assembly (former); Mesquite city council (former)

Current Outlook: Even though Hardy is a former Member of Congress, he’s an…