House News & Analysis

Report Shorts (April 21, 2023)

April 21, 2023 · 2:26 PM EDT

California’s 47th District. Former Rep. Harley Rouda ended his comeback bid after suffering a traumatic brain injury. The Democrat was angling to succeed Rep. Katie Porter, who is running for Senate. That leaves state Sen. Dave Min as the most notable Democrat in the race, though attorney Joanna Weiss and…

California 27: Turning Over a New Candidate

by Jacob Rubashkin April 7, 2023 · 1:30 PM EDT

For three consecutive elections, Republican Mike Garcia has bedeviled Democrats by winning a left-trending Los Angeles County seat despite amassing a staunchly conservative record in Congress. But Democrats have a renewed optimism this cycle, because for the first time in four years, they’ll have a different candidate. 

Democrats need a…

Pennsylvania House: Three Key Races in the Keystone State

by Erin Covey April 7, 2023 · 1:29 PM EDT

Across the country, Republican candidates who embraced former President Donald Trump’s MAGA agenda and echoed his false stolen election claims lost a tranche of winnable races in battleground states last cycle. 

Nowhere was this more obvious than in Pennsylvania, where Republican gubernatorial nominee Doug Mastriano, a state senator who helped…

Report Shorts (April 7, 2023)

April 7, 2023 · 1:28 PM EDT

Arizona's 1st District. The field of Democrats attempting to unseat GOP Rep. David Schweikert is shaping up. Jevin Hodge, who came less than 1 point away from defeating Schweikert last cycle, announced that he won’t run in 2024. Since then, Democratic state Rep. Amish Shah and  former state party chairman…

How Trump’s Legal Problems Could Affect Down Ballot Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2023 · 1:39 PM EDT

Even if legal problems don’t hinder former President Donald Trump’s political comeback attempt, they could hurt other Republican candidates on the ballot in 2024. 

Republicans won’t have to reckon with the electoral ramifications of Trump’s indictment for now. But much of the short-term analysis (or more specifically, the overall Republican…

Colorado 3: Can Boebert Bounce Back?

by Jacob Rubashkin March 24, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

One of the biggest surprises of the 2022 election wasn’t actually an upset. 

Colorado Republican Lauren Boebert won re-election as expected, but it ended up being the closest House race in the country. She won by just a few hundred votes, even though she was running in a district Donald…

Report Shorts (March 24, 2023)

March 24, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona Senate. Kyrsten Sinema’s campaign website has stopped sending donors to Democratic platform ActBlue. Instead, the independent now directs donors to rival payment processor Anedot, which is used primarily by Republican candidates and independents. Sinema hasn’t been kicked off ActBlue (yet), and her page on that platform is still live.…

The ‘Nepo Babies’ of the House of Representatives

by Jacob Rubashkin March 16, 2023 · 5:06 PM EDT

In its last issue of 2022, New York magazine published an exploration of Hollywood’s so-called “nepo babies.” The article cataloged the countless famous children of famous and well-connected parents across film, television, sports, music and modeling. Think Allison Williams, Zoe Kravitz, even A-listers including Oscar winners George Clooney and…

2024 House Overview: Republicans Try to Hold the Line

March 10, 2023 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Erin Covey

While it took more than a year for the 2022 House battleground to come into focus because of redistricting, this cycle is less complicated. With district lines in place in the vast majority of states and one cycle worth of election…

2024 House Overview (March 10, 2023): Alabama-Iowa

March 10, 2023 · 2:29 PM EST

At-Large, Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%.
Trump 53%. The parties disagree about what happened here. Democratic strategists believe Peltola is a special candidate who has positioned herself perfectly within Alaska’s unique electorate. Republicans believe her win was more a result of the state’s ranked-choice voting and the deeply…