House News & Analysis

Republican Migraines and the Midterm Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2018 · 8:45 AM EDT

Weather metaphors are often used (and overused) in election analysis, but there’s a better way to describe the Republicans’ challenge in 2018. The GOP is dealing with many headaches as it tries to preserve the Republican congressional majorities.

From tension to cluster to migraine, they can vary in frequency and…

2018 Election Preview: GOP Bump or Trend?

October 12, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With less than a month before Nov. 6, the fundamentals of these midterm elections are set and broadly good news for Democrats. But with dozens of close races around the country, a shift of just a couple points across the board is the…

House Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

October 12, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has high negatives from previous runs for office and a competitive primary, but it’s still rough going for Republican Lea Marquez Peterson to win this open seat that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016. Move…

Candidate Conversation - Wendy Rogers (R)

October 12, 2018 · 2:26 PM EDT

Arizona’s 1st District -- Rating: Lean Democratic

Interview Date: Sept. 14, 2018

Date of Birth: July 24, 1954; Fort Knox, Ky.

Education: Michigan State Univ. (1976); Univ. of Alabama (M.S.W. 1977); Cal State-San Bernardino (Master’s, 1986)

Elected Office: None; 2016 1st District candidate; 2014 9th District nominee; 2012 9th District…

Don’t Sweat the Election Night Surprises

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 10, 2018 · 11:06 AM EDT

What will be the biggest surprise on election night?

It’s a common and valid question, but I’m always a little amused by it.

If I were able to identify a completely unexpected or astonishing event that would happen a month from now, then that event shouldn’t be considered completely unexpected…

2018 Election Preview: Kavanaugh Confirmation Commands Attention

September 28, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

The worst time to analyze the political fallout from an event is in the middle of it. And that’s about where we are with the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process. 

The hearing and testimony from the judge and his accuser, Dr. Christine Blasey Ford,…

House Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has at least a narrow advantage over Republican Lea Marquez-Peterson in the race for the open seat. Republicans love their candidate and the NRCC is spending some money on the race. But this is…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Democratic Blueprint. At a press conference Sept. 18, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, the chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, called the current cycle of gubernatorial races a “generational election” and an opportunity to rid of the “scourge of gerrymandering.”  In our last gubernatorial overview, we pointed out that 26 of…

Candidate Conversation - Janet Garrett (D)

September 28, 2018 · 2:26 PM EDT

Ohio’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Sept. 6, 2018

Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1953; Troy, Ohio

Education: Kent State (1995; Master’s 1980)

Elected Office: 4th District nominee (2014, 2016)

Current Outlook: In a district where Hillary Clinton couldn’t break 31 percent, GOP Rep. Jim Jordan is…

Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2018 · 10:42 AM EDT

After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, election night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West Coast contests could prevent enough races from being…