House News & Analysis

Report Shorts (Feb. 1, 2019)

February 1, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

California’s 50th District. Alex Balkin became the second Democrat to announce a challenge to indicted GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter. 2018 nominee Ammar Campa-Najjar was the first. Balkin formerly worked at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and Department of Defense. The district is considerably favorable to Republicans, considering Hunter was under…

Texas House: Emerging Battlegrounds

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

Democrats didn’t win every competitive House race in Texas in 2018, but they picked up two Republican seats. And some strategists are talking about The Lone Star State being the next Orange County, Calif., where Democrats organized to pick up four seats in 2018 after decades of Republican control.

It’s…

Iowa’s 4th District: A King Without a Kingdom?

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 18, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

GOP Rep. Steve King of Iowa prevailed in a close general election in 2018, but he could face competitive primary and general election races in 2020.

State Sen. Randy Feenstra didn’t mention King by name when he announced his candidacy on Jan. 9 but plans to challenge the eight-term congressman…

Report Shorts (Jan. 18, 2019)

January 18, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

California’s 50th District. Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar came within 4 points of defeating GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter in 2016 and announced he will seek a rematch in 2020. But there’s a chance neither man makes it to the next general election. 

Hunter is under indictment and facing trial in September, and there’s…

Texas 2nd District: Live From Houston

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Saturday Night Live helped make Republican Dan Crenshaw a national figure before he was elected to Congress. But some GOP strategists had already identified him as a rising star.

The 2nd District had key components that made it a Democratic takeover opportunity in 2018: an open seat in a majority-minority…

Texas 3rd District: A Second Chance at a First Impression

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:26 PM EST

A dozen years ago, Republican Van Taylor ran for Congress in one of the worst cycles for the GOP. Last cycle wasn’t great for Republicans either, but Taylor prevailed. 

Despite GOP Rep. Sam Johnson’s retirement after 13 terms, leaving this seat open, the 3rd District wasn’t considered a particularly competitive…

Texas 7th District: Culberson Cut Down by Fletcher

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:25 PM EST

At the beginning of the 2018 cycle, some Republicans were concerned that GOP Rep. John Culberson wasn’t ready for a competitive re-election fight. He ramped up his campaign and still lost to Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher by 5 points.

The Harris County, Houston-area based 7th District was one of the…

Texas 10th District: Closer Margins, Higher Spending?

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:24 PM EST

GOP Rep. Mike McCaul is one of the five wealthiest members of Congress, but that doesn’t mean he’s invincible. In 2018, the congressman had one of his closest re-election races in years.

The 10th District stretches from Travis County in the west, to Harris County in the east, crossing over…

Texas 21st District: Democrats Testing Austin’s Limits

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:23 PM EST

After more than 30 years in Congress, Republican Lamar Smith decided to call it quits and more than a dozen Republicans jumped into the race to replace him. 

The 21st District includes parts of Bexar County that lean Republican and a Democratic base in Travis County, along with a handful…

Texas 22nd District: The Not-So-Secret Race

by Leah Askarinam January 18, 2019 · 2:22 PM EST

Toward the end of the 2018 cycle, there were whispers about sleeper races and Democrat Sri Preston Kulkarni was often one of them. But GOP Rep. Pete Olson was never a top-tier target. 

Previously represented by Rep. Tom DeLay, the 22nd District includes a significant non-white population (it’s a majority-minority…