Archive

Newt’s Southern Strategy: Not Impossible, Just Very Unlikely

by Stuart Rothenberg February 9, 2012 · 12:21 PM EST

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has adopted a Southern Strategy that he hopes will keep his campaign alive. It’s only a long shot, but Gingrich doesn’t have many better options.

After winning the South Carolina primary, Gingrich figures he can sweep most of the South and add victories (and…

In Florida: Anger, Confusion, Musical Chairs

by Stuart Rothenberg February 8, 2012 · 9:24 AM EST

There is plenty of evidence that the political discourse in this country has degenerated into the gutter. But anger, hatred, name-calling and political musical chairs all at the same time? Welcome to the soap opera that is Southeast Florida.

Last week, freshman Republican Rep. Allen West, a…

Don’t Bet on Gingrich Showing Up in Tampa

by Stuart Rothenberg February 4, 2012 · 9:48 AM EST

The conventional wisdom now is that, even with the Republican nomination slipping further and further away, former Speaker Newt Gingrich will fight tooth and nail all the way to Tampa, making life miserable for the party’s likely nominee, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

That scenario…

Tar Heel Blues Continue For Democrats

by Jessica Taylor February 3, 2012 · 9:51 AM EST

It’s a rough time to be a North Carolina Democrat.

In the span of just a week, the party’s seen Gov. Bev Perdue choose retirement over a competitive reelection she was likely to lose, Rep. Brad Miller headed for the exits rather than face Rep. David Price in a Democratic primary, and moderate…

Oregon Escapes Notice in Voter Photo ID Battle

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 3, 2012 · 9:25 AM EST

More than 200,000 people voted in this week’s special election in Oregon’s 1st district, and none of them had to show photo identification before they cast their ballot.

As the voter ID battle rages on in states across the country, the Beaver State hardly registers within the movement, even…

Florida Map Coming Into Focus

by Jessica Taylor February 1, 2012 · 4:41 PM EST

As Florida Republicans approach a compromise on redistricting, a game of musical chairs between GOP Reps. Allen West and Tom Rooney could potentially save one of the most endangered members of Congress.

With Rooney announcing he’ll run in the solidly Republican 17th District, which includes…

In Presidential Polling, Context Always Matters

by Stuart Rothenberg February 1, 2012 · 1:20 PM EST

It’s as predictable as night following day.

Events drive public sentiment, which then shows up in polling. Then, people who either want to make a splash or more often simply want to drive home partisan talking points use the numbers to proclaim a fundamental shift in public opinion and…

Special Election Results Ahead: Please Proceed With Caution

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 1, 2012 · 12:34 AM EST

As with any special election, it’s important to exercise restraint when extrapolating wider lessons. At least the presidential race is soaking up enough to attention to limit the opportunities to over-analyze the results in Oregon’s 1st District.

It looks like former state senator Suzanne…

Indiana Rep. Burton Goes Out on His Own Terms

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2012 · 12:24 PM EST

Dan Burton was unlikely to return to Congress next year; it was just a question of whether he would lose in the primary or retire. Today, the 15-term congressman from Indiana announced his retirement and avoided the very real potential that he would end his political career with a defeat.

Wisconsin Senate: Overshadowed by the Recall

by Jessica Taylor January 27, 2012 · 2:00 PM EST

Under normal circumstances, Wisconsin’s first open Senate seat since 1988 would be the biggest political game in town this cycle. Sen. Herb Kohl announced his retirement in May, and though the four-term Democrat had faced easy reelections, his move sets up a competitive race that is even more…