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2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Maryland-Ohio

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Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:58 PM EST

MARYLAND -    Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%). Unless popular GOP Gov. Larry Hogan decides to challenge Cardin instead of seeking re-election (which he’s not going to do), Republicans aren’t going to win this seat. In 2016, Clinton defeated Trump 60-34 percent and Democrat Chris Van…

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Oklahoma-Wyoming

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Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:57 PM EST

PENNSYLVANIA - Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%). With Trump’s 49-48 percent win over Clinton and Sen. Pat Toomey’s re-election in 2016, Republicans are feeling emboldened about their chances of defeating Casey next year. There was a moment when Casey’s 2012 race looked to be in…

A New Chapter: From Rothenberg to Inside Elections

Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 9:30 AM EST

According to branding experts, you’re supposed to change the name of your company every two years. It builds loyalty and boosts profits. Wait…that’s not what they’re saying? You’re probably thinking, that sounds like the same experts who said Hillary Clinton would be the next president.

Two years…

Trump Should Get Off to a Fast Start – But Will He?

Stuart Rothenberg January 10, 2017 · 8:00 AM EST

If you look only at Donald Trump’s recent “favorable” ratings, you might well think him politically weak.

After all, substantially more Americans continue to have an unfavorable opinion of him than a favorable one in post-election polls, and he lost the popular vote by almost 2.9 million votes.  …

Montana Senate: GOP Chances Left in Zinke’s Wake?

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2016 · 4:00 PM EST

Nearly two years before Election Day 2018, some Republicans have already thrown in the towel on one of their top Senate takeover targets.  

Donald Trump’s selection of GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke to become the Secretary of the Interior creates yet another House open seat but essentially takes a potential…

Six Lessons from Minnesota’s 3rd District

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2016 · 3:59 PM EST

When DFL state Sen. Terri Bonoff got into the race against GOP Rep. Erik Paulsen in April, it was heralded as a “big deal.”  

Democrats had coaxed a long-recruited candidate off of the sidelines and into a previously uncompetitive suburban district where Donald Trump was destined to lose and bring…

Georgia 6 Special: Republicans Look to Hold Suburban Seat

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2016 · 3:58 PM EST

President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination for Secretary of Health & Human Services sets up a special election in Georgia that is most likely to stay in Republican hands, but might be impossible for Democrats to pass up. 

As an orthopedic surgeon and Affordable Care Act critic, GOP Rep. Tom Price…

Kansas 4 Special: Secret Race to Replace New CIA Director

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2016 · 3:57 PM EST

Donald Trump doesn’t appear to have much faith in the CIA’s findings on Russia’s involvement in the election, but that didn’t stop him for nominating Kansas GOP Rep. Mike Pompeo to direct the agency.

There is no clear successor in Pompeo’s 4th District, but state Treasurer Ron Estes is regarded as…

California 34 Special: Becerra Jumps Off Leadership Ladder to Become State Attorney General

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2016 · 3:56 PM EST

Democratic Rep. Xavier Becerra is vacating his Southern California House seat to become California’s state attorney general, leaving behind a safe Democratic district and a hole in the House leadership ladder. 

Becerra, 58, was the term-limited chairman of the House Democratic Caucus with a logjam…