President News & Analysis

The Bush Factor in the Upcoming Presidential Election

by Stuart Rothenberg November 11, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

If there is one question that, when answered, should help us anticipate the 2008 results, it is likely to be this one: How much of an impact will President Bush have on voters’ decisions next year?

Unfortunately, history isn’t much of a guide, since there is just a…

GOP’s Race Problem Doesn’t Always Include Debates

by Stuart Rothenberg November 7, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

A shot was recently fired across the GOP’s bow about the cancellation of the scheduled Nov. 4 presidential debate co-sponsored by the Congressional Black Caucus Institute and Fox News, and you can bet more shots will be fired over the next few months.

Writing less than a week…

It’s Still Clinton & Romney in New Saint Anselm Survey

October 25, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

A new poll conducted by SRBI Research of New York City for the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College shows New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton holding a commanding 21-point lead in the state’s Democratic primary and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with a smaller, but still…

Edwards, Clinton and Questions About Their Electability in ’08

by Stuart Rothenberg October 18, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

For weeks now, the campaign of former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) has been hammering away about New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s greatest alleged vulnerability: her electability. It’s a good strategy, at least in theory, since Democratic voters will not nominate someone for president who they think will lose…

Say What? Obama’s Word Games

October 17, 2007 · 10:44 AM EDT

In at least one way, “incumbency” is like being pregnant. You can’t be “a little pregnant,” and you can’t be partially an incumbent.

But that pesky fact hasn’t gotten in the way of Sen. Barack Obama, or his campaign, and their awkward attempts to label Hillary Clinton as…

Say What? Obama’s Word Games

October 17, 2007 · 10:44 AM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Stuart Rothenberg

In at least one way, “incumbency” is like being pregnant. You can’t be “a little pregnant,” and you can’t be partially an incumbent.

But that pesky fact hasn’t gotten in the way of Sen. Barack Obama, or his campaign, and their…

Biden and Dodd: Still Looking for Their Opening

by Stuart Rothenberg October 4, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

As the World Series approaches, two U.S. Senators, Connecticut’s Chris Dodd and Delaware’s Joseph Biden, find themselves roughly in the same place that they were at the beginning of spring training: second-tier hopefuls for the Democratic presidential nomination regarded by journalists and most Democrats as mere long shots.

Nationwide Listening Tour for Clinton?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 2, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

While all the presidential candidates are talking about change, next spring might be just the right time for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) to dust off an old strategy to demonstrate a fresh approach.

Burdened with high personal negatives from the outset, Clinton may have an opportunity to…

Where the Presidential Nomination Races Are ... and Where to Look

by Stuart Rothenberg September 24, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

By Stuart Rothenberg

More than three months before the crucial Iowa caucuses, there are good reasons for treating national surveys with great skepticism and for placing greater weight on the candidates’ standing and strength in Iowa and New Hampshire.

First, the candidates actually…

Where the Presidential Nomination Races Are … and Where to Look

September 24, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

More than three months before the crucial Iowa caucuses, there are good reasons for treating national surveys with great skepticism and for placing greater weight on the candidates’ standing and strength in Iowa and New Hampshire.

First, the candidates actually have been campaigning for months in those two states —…