House News & Analysis

Ohio 14: Competitive Later, Rather Than Sooner

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 24, 2012 · 2:59 PM EDT

Republican David Joyce couldn’t ask for a much easier path to Congress, but it won’t likely be this way forever.

Just three months before Election Day, nine-term Rep. Steve LaTourette (R) announced his retirement from Ohio’s 14th District. But the primary was five months ago, and, according to…

Massachusetts 6: Family Feud

by Jessica Taylor August 24, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

The GOP could be seeing the re-emergence of the once-extinct breed of New England Republicans this fall, thanks to a series of mistakes from Democratic incumbents.

While Republicans have two good opportunities in unexpected seats in Rhode Island and Massachusetts, it’s the Bay State’s 6th District that Republicans…

Michigan 11: Christmas Miracle?

by Jessica Taylor August 24, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

Christmas came early for Democrats in Michigan’s 11th District, while Republicans hope they don’t get a lump of coal as they try to hold onto this GOP seat that shouldn’t even be in play, if not for a series of unfortunate events.

Rep. Thad McCotter (R) always marched…

Georgia Runoffs Paint Incomplete Picture

by Jessica Taylor August 22, 2012 · 10:26 AM EDT

Rep. John Barrow (D-Ga.) remains one of the most endangered incumbents in the country, but he also remains without a firm opponent, after Tuesday’s runoff failed to produce a clear winner.

With all precincts reporting in the 12th District GOP runoff, state Rep. Lee Anderson led businessman Rick…

First NRCC IE Ads Show Surprising Diversity

by Stuart Rothenberg August 16, 2012 · 5:14 PM EDT

The NRCC’s Independent Expenditure campaign will launch TV ads tomorrow in four districts currently held by moderate Democrats who survived the 2010 GOP wave, and the ads are surprisingly different from each other.

These initial ads are being released about a month earlier than they were aired during…

Fun for Everyone in Florida, Connecticut, Minnesota, Wisconsin House Primaries

by Jessica Taylor August 15, 2012 · 1:22 AM EDT

Primary voters went to the polls in four states on Tuesday, solidifying general election contests and selecting new members in safe seats.

At least one member of Congress was going down in Florida’s primaries on Tuesday -- but in a surprise twist, it ended up likely being two.

Aurora(s) and the Fight for the House

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 9, 2012 · 9:37 AM EDT

Aurora, Colo., is a household name because of the recent tragic movie theater shootings. But come November, the city and some of the other Auroras around the country will help decide which party controls the House of Representatives next year.

There are actually close to two dozen Auroras…

Fireworks, But No Surprises in Michigan, Missouri and Washington House Primaries

by Jessica Taylor August 8, 2012 · 10:11 AM EDT

Two more House incumbents lost on Tuesday, but it wasn’t a surprise since they faced fellow Members in primaries in Missouri and Michigan, and one of them had to lose.

In Michigan, Rep. Gary Peters prevailed over freshman Rep. Hansen Clarke in the Democratic primary in the 14th…

On a Run of Strong Congressional Candidates

by Stuart Rothenberg August 7, 2012 · 10:53 AM EDT

I’m not sure whether it’s the summer heat, a side effect of the aging process or simply dumb luck, but I’ve met a string of unusually good Congressional candidates recently.

Not all of them will win — in part because some of them are running against each other…

Polls or Fundamentals in N.Y. 1st District Race?

by Stuart Rothenberg August 3, 2012 · 10:55 AM EDT

I have been watching New York’s 1st district since I came to Washington, D.C., in 1980.

The suburban district on the east end of Long Island has often had competitive races and has flipped from one party to the other a number of times during the past 30…