House News & Analysis

Missouri 8: Who Will Replace Emerson?

December 3, 2012 · 11:35 AM EST

The new Congress isn’t even sworn in and we already have a second special election, in Missouri. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr.’s (D) resignation last month set in motion a contest early next year to fill his safe Democratic seat in the Chicago area.

The second special election comes…

Louisiana 3: Last Incumbent Standing

by Jessica Taylor November 30, 2012 · 2:01 PM EST

Election Day may be over everywhere else, but in Cajun Country it’s still as hot as ever.

Thanks to Louisiana’s quirky election laws and once-in-a-decade redistricting, incumbent Republicans Charles Boustany and Jeff Landry have been locked in an overtime contest. But it’s one both congressmen anticipated…

Georgia 12: Barrow Lives to Fight Another Day

by Jessica Taylor November 30, 2012 · 1:59 PM EST

On paper, Rep. John Barrow should have been a goner.

Over the years, the Georgia Democrat has enjoyed a bit of schadenfreude in proving Republicans wrong and winning even when the odds were stacked against him. This year was no exception.

Fortunately for…

Why the National House Vote is Completely Irrelevant

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 21, 2012 · 11:49 AM EST

Democrats had a good Election Night. President Obama won a second term, and the party unexpectedly gained seats in the Senate. But the effort to claim victory in the House is a bridge too far, and it isn’t merely the touting about how Democrats met or exceeded low expectations…

Drawing the Wrong Meaning About a House Race

by Stuart Rothenberg November 21, 2012 · 9:32 AM EST

Sometimes it’s not about the larger lessons for the national party or the demographics. Sometimes the better candidate just wins.

I’ll admit that I get a little defensive about the coverage of House races.

Only a handful of us pay a lot of attention to them (you…

Perfect Storm for Democratic Pickups

by Stuart Rothenberg November 16, 2012 · 10:50 AM EST

While most members of the national media have focused on President Barack Obama’s narrow popular vote/substantial electoral vote victory, the far more stunning results occurred in the Senate.

Though defending 23 seats to the GOP’s 10, Democrats added two more seats last week (counting Maine independent Angus King).…

What Really Happened in the House

by Stuart Rothenberg November 14, 2012 · 12:00 PM EST

After an election, the winners often gloat and the losers look for excuses and point their fingers.

Almost inevitably, both sides overreact. Some losers see the sky falling, while too many winners (and their press people) draw exaggerated conclusions about their brilliance and about the voters’ messages.

Mixed Message: Divided Nation Is Still Divided

by Stuart Rothenberg November 9, 2012 · 10:14 AM EST

Tuesday’s results were not unexpected, but that doesn’t mean they shouldn’t send shock waves through the political establishment.

The president was re-elected at the same time Democrats retained the Senate and Republicans continued to hold the House, but the elections seem to raise more questions about the future…

House Results: The GOP Bends But Doesn’t Break

by Jessica Taylor November 7, 2012 · 3:15 PM EST

While Republicans are a bit shell-shocked about the presidential and Senate results, House Republicans have reason for smugness. They kept control of their chamber after their sweeping 2010 gains and will likely keep their losses only in the single digits.

Sill, the outcome is something of a letdown…

Jumping to Conclusions on the 2012 Elections

by Stuart Rothenberg November 6, 2012 · 10:00 AM EST

If there is one thing that you can probably bet on, it is that the winners and losers in today’s balloting will draw the wrong conclusions from the outcome.

The winner of the presidential election — of 270 votes in the Electoral College — will almost certainly see…