House News & Analysis

Ohio Blowout Raises Red Flag for Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg November 23, 2010 · 10:06 AM EST

A little more than a year ago, I wrote a column in this space (Will the Buckeye State Swing Back to the GOP in 2010?, Oct. 22, 2009) that noted Ohio’s bellwether reputation and suggested the state could see a major effort by a rejuvenated Republican Party to…

Most Outrageous, Absurd Candidates of 2010

by Stuart Rothenberg November 19, 2010 · 3:43 PM EST

Every election cycle, a few candidates and campaigns stand out as remarkable for their absurdity, their outrageousness, their futility or their sheer gall. They need to be recognized.

No, I’m not talking about a campaign that proves to be remarkable for its weak fundraising (such as Ohio Democratic…

Democrats Lost the Faith of Religious Voters

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 18, 2010 · 10:06 AM EST

Ever since Barack Obama uttered the words “awesome God” in his 2004 convention speech, Democrats embarked on a multiyear journey to convince voters of faith. But any inroads Democrats made with religious voters over the past four years were essentially washed away in this year’s midterm elections.

Voters…

Messages Sent by ’10 Voters Weren’t ‘Either-Or’

by Stuart Rothenberg November 17, 2010 · 11:21 AM EST

As Republicans, Democrats and journalists discuss the meaning of this year’s midterm elections, it’s become clear to me that many of questions they ponder present false choices that obscure the lessons of Nov. 2. Here are some of them:

Question No. 1: Were the 2010 midterms “about” jobs…

Post-2010, Face of Both Parties Is A-Changing

by Stuart Rothenberg November 10, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

Elections both reflect a political party’s appeal and create a new face that ultimately recasts that image. And the midterm elections of 2010 are no exception.

For Democrats, “diversity” has been about ideology and region recently — proving to Americans that the party isn’t a bunch of liberals…

Huge GOP Wins in Ohio Complicate Redraw

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 9, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

Five new Republicans will join the Ohio Congressional delegation in January, but they may not want to get too comfortable on Capitol Hill.

The GOP wave that swept across the Buckeye State last week dramatically changed the makeup of the delegation from 10 Democrats and 8 Republicans to…

Swing Voters, GOP to Democrats: You’re Fired!

by Stuart Rothenberg November 5, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

There were many messages and lessons to be drawn from the 2010 midterm results, but the most obvious one is that Republican, conservative and swing voters fired Democrats — even Democrats they liked, and even Democrats who took care to vote as their constituents wanted.

Sure, freshmen Democratic…

As America Votes, It’s All Over but the Shouting

by Stuart Rothenberg November 2, 2010 · 10:25 AM EDT

So what happened this election cycle? As voters across the country head to the polls today, here are a few thoughts.

• Democrats never succeeded in changing the trajectory of the election cycle that developed roughly midway through last year.

Once voters decided President Barack Obama and…

Big Gulf Between Parties on Spending Strategies

by Stuart Rothenberg October 30, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

Election Day is still five days off, but already Republican strategists are whispering that they outmaneuvered their Democratic counterparts.

The National Republican Congressional Committee and certain other GOP-allied groups adopted a reasonable but risky strategy, which proved effective. Those strategists decided to spend their limited financial resources early…

2010 House Overview (October 28, 2010)

October 28, 2010 · 11:43 PM EDT

More than a few Democratic veterans of the political wars are now talking about their party suffering extraordinary losses of at least 60 seats. The problem that both they and we see is that dozens of Democratic incumbents are sitting under 50% in ballot tests (and often in the…