Ratings Update: Tennessee Senate Remains Solid R for Now

December 7, 2017 · 1:14 PM EST

Democrats made a big splash this week with the entry of former Gov. Phil Bredesen into the Tennessee Senate race, but the party still has an uphill battle in a state President Donald Trump won convincingly, and it’s not even clear Bredesen gives Democrats the best chance of winning.

On the…

Ratings Change: Franken’s Minnesota Seat Starts as Likely for Democrats

December 7, 2017 · 12:30 PM EST

Sen. Al Franken’s resignation puts another Democratic seat into the 2018 mix, but it’s still unclear whether his departure provides Republicans with a legitimate takeover opportunity.

In order to handicap a race, it’s helpful to know where the contest will take place and who is running. In this…

2018 Senate Ratings (December 8, 2017)

December 7, 2017 · 12:29 PM EST

Missouri Senate: Claire’s Courtship of Trump Voters

by Leah Askarinam December 1, 2017 · 2:30 PM EST

If Democrats want to have any shot at winning a Senate majority in 2018, Sen. Claire McCaskill likely needs to win re-election—a tall task, given that Missouri voted for President Donald Trump by nearly 20 points. 

McCaskill is one of 10 Democratic senators running for re-election in states that…

Alabama Senate Special: Moore or Less a Toss-Up

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 1, 2017 · 2:29 PM EST

With 10 days to go before the Dec. 12 Alabama Senate special election, anyone who tells you they are certain who will win either is lying to you or just misinformed. 

Limited public polling shows Republican Roy Moore with a narrow advantage over Democrat Doug Jones in spite of multiple allegations…

Nebraska 2: Organizing for Omaha

by Leah Askarinam December 1, 2017 · 2:28 PM EST

Democrats are relying on a stable of first-time challengers in their effort to regain the House majority, but their fate may ultimately depend on a handful of defeated Members and re-run candidates.

Of course it’s not impossible (or unprecedented) for a candidate who loses a congressional election…

Candidate Conversation - Dan McCready (D)

December 1, 2017 · 2:27 PM EST

Candidate for North Carolina’s 9th District

Interview Date: Oct. 12, 2017

Date of Birth: July 18, 1983; New York, N.Y.

Education: Duke (2005); Harvard (MBA, 2011)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: McCready gives Democrats a credible challenger in a district President…

Candidate Conversation - Gina Ortiz Jones (D)

December 1, 2017 · 2:26 PM EST

Candidate for Texas’ 23rd District

Interview Date: Oct. 20, 2017

Date of Birth: Feb. 1, 1981; Arlington, Va.

Education: Boston University (Bachelor’s, two Master’s degrees, 2003)

Elected Office: None; First run for office 

Current Outlook: The 23rd District, which stretches across a…

Candidate Conversation - Josh Butner (D)

December 1, 2017 · 2:25 PM EST

Candidate for California’s 50th District

Interview Date: Oct. 12, 2017

Date of Birth: Jan. 31, 1969; Bethesda Naval Hospital, Md.

Education: Southern Illinois Univ. Carbondale (Bachelor’s, 1995); Naval Postgraduate School/Naval War College (Masters, 2001); Arizona State Univ. (attended)

Candidate Conversation - Mike Braun (R)

December 1, 2017 · 2:24 PM EST

Candidate for Indiana Senate 

Interview Date: Oct. 25, 2017

Date of Birth: March 24, 1954; Jasper, Ind.

Education: Wabash College (1976); Harvard (1978 MBA)

Elected Office: State House; Jasper school board (former)

Current Outlook: The Beltway seems to be focused on the GOP primary feud…