House News & Analysis

2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Alabama - Illinois

April 3, 2015 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona 
The U.S. Supreme Court will decide a redistricting case by the end of June which could put take mapmaking authority from the nonpartisan commission into the hands of the GOP-controlled Legislature. Strategists on both sides of the aisle believe Republicans could redraw the lines to gain two more…

2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Indiana - New Jersey

April 3, 2015 · 2:28 PM EDT

Iowa 
1st District (Blum, R). Freshman Rod Blum is a Democratic target in a district that Obama won with a considerable 56 percent. Cedar Rapids City Councilwoman Monica Vernon is the early Democratic frontrunner. She was endorsed by EMILY’s List last week. You can read our full analysis of…

2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) New Mexico - Wyoming

April 3, 2015 · 2:27 PM EDT

New Mexico
2nd District (Pearce, R). Democrats are back to taking the long view on this district. A couple years ago, strategists believed long-term growth in the Hispanic population would make Steve Pearce vulnerable. But their optimism accelerated when former Eddy County Commissioner Rocky Lara got into the race.…

Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2015 · 1:07 PM EDT

Former Illinois Rep. Bobby Schilling hasn’t closed the door on running in the special election to replace embattled Republican Rep. Aaron Schock, according to a knowledgeable GOP source.

State Sen. Darin LaHood of Peoria is the early front-runner in the forthcoming Republican primary, but Schilling represented part of Illinois’…

Illinois 18: Who Will Replace Aaron Schock?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2015 · 2:30 PM EDT

GOP Rep. Aaron Schock endured weeks of bad headlines about alleged misuse of office and campaign funds, but few observers thought he would resign, at least so soon. 

While media coverage, including The Washington Post and USA Today, shed light on some of Schock’s spending habits, Politico’s story on the…

Looking for Retirements in All the Wrong Places

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2015 · 2:29 PM EDT

Who’s going to retire? It’s usually one of the first questions at this early stage of the election cycle. The easiest thing to do is take a look at the House, pick out the oldest Members in the room, and put them on a retirement watch list. But it’s…

Iowa 1: Freshman in the City

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2015 · 2:28 PM EDT

Republican Rod Blum took over a Democratic open seat last year in a late-breaking race. But even some GOP strategists aren’t quite sure what to make of the Iowa congressman’s first few months in office. The only thing certain is that the 1st District will be a top Democratic…

Report Shorts (March 20, 2015) Florida Senate, Maryland Senate, Michigan’s 11th, New Jersey Senate

March 20, 2015 · 2:27 PM EDT

Florida Senate. Democratic National Committee Chairwoman/Rep. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz announced on Tuesday that she will seek re-election and not run for the Senate. Former GOP Governor/2014 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Charlie Crist also announced he isn’t running for the Senate either. Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy appears close to jumping in. Reps.…

Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 10, 2015 · 1:08 PM EDT

Tennessee Rep. Scott DesJarlais was an unlikely survivor in his 2014 Republican primary, but his next electoral challenge may already be on the horizon.

Grant Starrett, a young aide on both of Mitt Romney’s presidential campaigns, is contacting donors in advance of a potential run in the 4th District,…

Mississippi 1 Special: Republicans Avoid ‘08 Redo

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 1:58 PM EST

Democrats pulled off a special election upset in a conservative Mississippi district back in 2008, but can they do it again?

Seven years ago, moderate Democrat Travis Childers took advantage of a divided Republican Party and some unique timing to take over the seat vacated by GOP Rep. Roger…