Inside Elections

2012 RPR Electoral Vote Estimate (January 27, 2011) Gingrich vs. Obama

January 27, 2012 · 10:58 AM EST

2012 House Ratings (January 27, 2012)

January 27, 2012 · 10:57 AM EST

2012 Senate Ratings (January 27, 2012)

January 27, 2012 · 10:56 AM EST

2012 Gubernatorial Ratings (January 27, 2012)

January 27, 2012 · 10:55 AM EST

What Are the Chances of a Republican White Knight?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 27, 2012 · 8:00 AM EST

The idea probably is somewhere between nutty and delusional, but given the weird ups and downs this cycle, nutty isn’t impossible.

As Republican insiders of various ideological bent, from the more moderate to the uncompromisingly conservative, watch the presidential nominating process with…

Will GOP Risk Goldwater II With Newt Gingrich in 2012?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 25, 2012 · 11:20 AM EST

In 1964, an angry Republican Party threw caution to the wind and nominated conservative Arizona Sen. Barry Goldwater for president. Eight years later, Democrats rallied behind South Dakota Sen. George McGovern, an unapologetic liberal.

In each case, the party’s rank and file embraced what it…

Toxic Congress: Dose of Electoral Uncertainty

by Stuart Rothenberg January 24, 2012 · 11:37 AM EST

Earlier this year, a CBS News poll showed Congress’ job approval at 12 percent, while CNN had it at 16 percent in mid-December and Gallup had it at 11 percent at the same time.

Given those stunningly low numbers, it isn’t surprising that Democratic strategists figure that running against…

Giffords Resignation Sets Up Likely Competitive Special Election

by Jessica Taylor January 22, 2012 · 3:48 PM EST

Cong. Gabrielle Giffords announced in a video message Sunday she would resign from Congress this week to focus on her ongoing recovery after an assassination attempt on her life last January.

Giffords has been ever the picture of inspiration and poise, to both Republicans and Democrats,…

Virginia Redistricting: Making the “Ins” Further “In”

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2012 · 3:10 PM EST

Virginia’s new congressional districts don’t dramatically alter the partisanship of many districts, but the lines do solidify incumbents from both parties.

Democrat Gerry Connolly’s 11th District becomes about five points more Democratic, making his already Democratic-leaning district safe for…

A Rough Estimate of the Current House Field

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2012 · 2:12 PM EST

Contrary to what you see on television and cable news, there are other elections besides the presidential race this year. And for those who care about control of Congress, the picture there is starting to come into better focus.

Because of substantial redistricting gains in three large states —…