Archive

Illinois 12: A Tall Order

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 16, 2011 · 2:58 PM EST

Democrats used their redistricting power to slice up Republican districts and incumbents across the state of Illinois. But Cong. Jerry Costello’s (D) surprising retirement gives Republicans an opportunity to swipe a seat in President Obama’s home state.

Before his announcement, Republicans…

2012 House Ratings (December 16, 2011)

December 16, 2011 · 2:55 PM EST

Can Mitt Romney Conquer Newt Gingrich, His Own Ceiling?

by Stuart Rothenberg December 16, 2011 · 9:38 AM EST

Mitt Romney’s ceiling in Iowa doesn’t look like glass. It looks like reinforced concrete.

Even after three conservative candidates rose and fell in polling in Iowa, the former Massachusetts governor still can’t get above the 25 percent mark in the crucial early caucus state. “That really says…

Another Year of Prognostication Ups and Downs

by Stuart Rothenberg December 14, 2011 · 11:37 AM EST

“Regrets, I’ve had a few,” Frank Sinatra sings in one of his signature songs, “My Way,” and that should be a sentiment that every political analyst, handicapper and forecaster feels as he or she looks back on a body of work from the previous 12 months.

Few people like to admit mistakes, but…

Democratic Consultant a Winner in Predicting Heisman Trophy

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 10, 2011 · 9:37 AM EST

Consultant Kari Chisholm spends most of his life helping Democrats get elected to public office, but every year he takes a couple of weeks to devote himself to a 25-pound bronze statue of a football player.

Through his website, StiffArmTrophy.com, Chisholm has correctly projected the past nine…

Do Democrats Face More Trouble From Occupy Wall Street?

by Stuart Rothenberg December 9, 2011 · 10:50 AM EST

It’s hard to say exactly when the Occupy Wall Street movement fizzled, but so far it has failed to become the politically potent force that the tea party was during the 2010 election cycle.

But even if the Occupy movement has not yet broadened its appeal or redefined our politics, it could…