Archive

New Print Edition: Senate, Governor, & House Updates and Ratings

September 29, 2006 · 2:36 PM EDT
The new September 29, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here. This issues contains updated news and ratings on the Senate, the House, and races for Governor.

In the Senate, we moved two races (click here for our…

New Print Edition: Senate, Governor, & House Updates and Ratings

September 29, 2006 · 2:36 PM EDT

The new September 29, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here. This issues contains updated news and ratings on the Senate, the House, and races for Governor.

In the Senate, we moved two races (click here for our…

Don’t Make Me Say I Told You So: It’s a Bump, Not a Surge

by Stuart Rothenberg September 28, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

The ink on my Sept. 18 column warning against overreaction to new polling and alleged “surges” had not yet dried when USA Today released its newest Gallup Poll, predictably asserting the existence of an alleged Republican surge. Others quickly joined the chorus.

First, let’s stipulate that…

The Growing Undecided?

September 26, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

We’re only a couple weeks into the post-Labor Day sprint to November, and many voters are only now taking the time to see who is running in November.

As a whole, Republican congressional incumbents are starting off in a weaker position this cycle compared to previous cycles, and even unknown…

The Fight for the Senate: More GOP Headaches, and One for Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg September 25, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Recent developments have improved Democrats’ prospects in their fight to take the Senate, with the Republican hold on the chamber looking more tenuous than even a month ago.

While the renomination of Rhode Island Sen. Lincoln Chafee has improved GOP chances of holding onto his seat, Virginia…

What to Expect Over the Next Seven Weeks

by Stuart Rothenberg September 21, 2006 · 12:01 AM EDT

It’s a good idea to try to anticipate the ups and downs of this election cycle’s stretch run, so when the inevitable stories about a Republican “surge” hit the newspapers, you won’t be taken completely by surprise.

First, this is the kind of cycle when long-shot challengers suddenly appear,…

Can Republicans Fear What They Don’t Know?

September 19, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Many Republicans this cycle are heading into uncharted waters. Members of Congress like Curt Weldon (PA-7) are facing their first reelection challenge in a couple of decades. But Weldon may have one piece of inspiration that many of his colleagues don’t possess — he knows what its like to be a…

Can Republicans Fear What They Don’t Know?

September 19, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Many Republicans this cycle are heading into uncharted waters. Members of Congress like Curt Weldon (PA-7) are facing their first reelection challenge in a couple of decades. But Weldon may have one piece of inspiration that many of his colleagues don't possess -- he knows what…

An Anti-Incumbent Election? This Year? Of Course Not

by Stuart Rothenberg September 18, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

By Stuart Rothenberg

Over the past year or so, I’ve heard more than a few people talking about 2006 as an anti-incumbent election. Well, those people are wrong. We are not going to have an anti-incumbent election in November. We are going to have an anti-Bush election.

First, let’s get our…

Gubernatorial Races: Another Big Democratic Gain

by Stuart Rothenberg September 14, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

It is now clear that when the dust settles on Nov. 8, Democrats will find themselves holding a majority of governorships for the first time since the 1994 midterm elections, when Democratic ranks across the nation were decimated.

While Republicans currently hold 28 of the nation’s 50…