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California 4: Brown’s Poll Signals Tough Road Ahead

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 5, 2008 · 3:45 PM EDT

As California state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) was on his way to a primary win over former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) in the Golden State’s 4th district, a new poll released by the likely Democratic nominee, Charlie Brown, showed him leading both Republicans in hypothetical general election matchups.

California 4: Brown’s Poll Signals Tough Road Ahead

June 5, 2008 · 3:45 PM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales

As California state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) was on his way to a primary win over former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) in the Golden State’s 4th district, a new poll released by the likely Democratic nominee, Charlie Brown, showed him leading both Republicans in hypothetical…

Will Bob Barr and the Libertarians Be a Factor in the Presidential Race?

by Stuart Rothenberg June 5, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

It was sometime toward the end of Saturday afternoon, May 24, that I concluded that the Libertarian Party is about as politically tone-deaf as anyone or any organization that I have ever observed.

I had just watched a few hours of the party’s presidential nominating convention on C-SPAN and…

New York 20: Treadwell to Go on the Air in New York Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 4, 2008 · 11:15 AM EDT

Former New York Secretary of State Sandy Treadwell (R) is set to air his first television ads of the campaign in the Empire State’s 20th District, according to a knowledgeable GOP source.

Treadwell still has to secure the Republican nomination on Sept. 9, but his willingness to go on television…

McCain: No Special Interest

by Stuart Rothenberg June 2, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Republicans nationwide are expecting Arizona Sen. John McCain to save their party and bring hope to the entire ballot this fall. But he hardly lifted a finger in three recent special elections where his party lost seats.

In 2006, McCain’s presence on the campaign trail was a prized commodity as…

New Print Edition: Virginia 11 & Kentucky Senate

May 30, 2008 · 3:21 PM EDT

The May 30, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate…

New York 26: GOP Field Clearing for Lee

May 29, 2008 · 3:29 PM EDT

The Republican field to replace former NRCC Chairman Tom Reynolds in New York’s 26th District is about to be cleared for businessman Chris Lee. Iraq war veteran David Bellavia is expected to exit the race soon, according to GOP sources, leaving Lee with a clear path to the nomination. The…

Louisiana Senate: A Tossup All the Way Until Election Day

by Stuart Rothenberg May 29, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

In some House and Senate contests, the incumbent can “put away” the challenger with an early negative media blitz that discredits him before he has been able to get himself known. At other times, the incumbent can safely ignore the challenger rather than giving him the credibility he will never…

Idaho Senate: LaRocco vs. American Idol

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 28, 2008 · 1:37 PM EDT

The stage is set for the U.S. Senate race in Idaho. Jim Risch won the GOP nomination Tuesday, the first step for the lieutenant governor in his effort to keep the seat in Republican hands after the Larry Craig debacle. Former Cong. Larry LaRocco won the Democratic nomination, but earned a…

Kentucky Senate: McConnell Poll Sets the Record Straight

by Stuart Rothenberg May 27, 2008 · 1:48 PM EDT

Sen. Mitch McConnell may not be quite as vulnerable as a recent, and questionable, public poll suggests. The Kentucky senator leads wealthy businessman Bruce Lunsford (D) 50%-39% in a new poll released by McConnell’s campaign. The numbers fly in the face of a Rasmussen Poll showing Lunsford ahead…