Archive

Ohio River Valley Lacks Competition

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 23, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Three years ago, the Ohio River Valley was the epicenter of the battle for control of Congress. But in just two election cycles, the long swath of Republican territory has moved from red to blue to virtually uncompetitive on the Congressional level.

Inspired by a spring 2006 column by Roll Call

Connecticut Senate: For Dodd, the News Is Decidedly Mixed

by Stuart Rothenberg June 22, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Since my April 6 column (“The Most Vulnerable Senator Up for Re-Election in 2010?”), Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) has had his ups and his downs. His supporters happily point to a number of “ups.”

After playing a highly visible role in the bank bailout, Dodd led the charge on a credit card bill…

A Candidate Meeting That I’ll Never Forget — Even if I’d Like to

by Stuart Rothenberg June 18, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

When I interview candidates, the meetings normally last 45 minutes to an hour. That’s the only thing they have in common. Each meeting is different because each candidate is unique.

But rarely do I have a meeting like the one that I had recently with Peter Schiff, the well-known investment guru…

New Print Edition: Alabama 2 & California 44

June 16, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The June 12, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of…

Virginia Governor: Democrats Play It Smart by Nominating Deeds

by Stuart Rothenberg June 15, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The Virginia gubernatorial race just got a whole lot tougher for Republican nominee Bob McDonnell.

Instead of nominating a liberal from Northern Virginia (former state Del. Brian Moran) or an upstate New Yorker normally identified with the national Democratic Party (Terry McAuliffe), Old…

California 44: Showcase Showdown

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 12, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

With the Democratic wave crashing all across the country, few people were watching as GOP Cong. Ken Calvert was nearly swept out of office as well. But after his close call last cycle, all eyes are on Southern California to see if the 44th District is Democrats’ top opportunity or merely a missed…

Alabama 2: All Is Calm, All is Bright

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 12, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

When Bobby Bright decided to run for Congress, many people weren’t sure which party he was in. The former mayor of Montgomery went on to win last fall as a Democrat, but he’d prefer you forget that last part.

Bright’s victory encapsulated many of the problems Republicans faced over the last two…

It’s Time to Change The Tone of Our ‘Politics’ Coverage

by Stuart Rothenberg June 11, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

In May, I made an appearance on “Hardball with Chris Matthews,” one of MSNBC’s political shows. The segment’s main focus was the current state of the Republican Party.

When the segment ended and I walked off the set, I knew that that would likely be my last appearance on “Hardball.” I had…

Democrats Face Turnout Challenges in Key Districts in 2010

by Stuart Rothenberg June 8, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Democratic political strategists know that for all of their party’s advantages next year, they’ll almost certainly have significant turnout issues in more than a half-dozen highly competitive districts — even if President Barack Obama remains popular.

“Last cycle, our challenge was to make…

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

June 5, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings.
# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (4 R, 4 D)

  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • FL Open (Crist, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • KS Open…