Archive

Redistricting Winner Is Still to Be Determined

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2011 · 9:41 AM EST

Shortly after the 2010 census numbers were released, new Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel commented that the report “pours cold water on Republicans’ hype that redistricting is a disaster for Democrats.”

The New York lawmaker’s comment, I suppose, was a response…

Political Cartographers Train to Redraw Districts

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 19, 2011 · 3:10 PM EST

Some of the most powerful people you’ve never heard of are coming to the Washington, D.C., area this week, and their legacy will last at least a decade.

Now that the census count and reapportionment are over, we know which states will gain or lose seats as part of the redistricting process. But…

Republican Redistricting Efforts Bankrupt for 2011?

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 17, 2011 · 8:15 AM EST

Republicans are in danger of entering the next stage of redistricting at a significant financial disadvantage thanks to a cash-strapped Republican National Committee and a high-profile outside group that never got off the ground.

In 2009, former Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-Miss.),…

This Is a Time to Reflect on What Is Important

by Stuart Rothenberg January 12, 2011 · 9:43 AM EST

The political fallout from the horrific shootings in Tucson, Ariz., on Saturday was predictable. Members of Congress called for a return to civility, gun control advocates used the tragedy to call for more gun control and some liberals blamed the violence on conservatives.

So what else is new?

2012 Senate Landscape Is Far From Finalized

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 10, 2011 · 8:40 AM EST

Senate race ratings make good headlines and cable news fodder, but two years out from an election, they can be poor predictors of what’s to come.

Looking back over the past decade, plenty of seats deemed safe in the off-year could be found later in the “lost” column while some tossup races…

Projections — Not Predictions — About 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg January 7, 2011 · 10:06 AM EST

I have been writing about campaigns and elections for more than three decades, but some of the people who comment about my work still don’t seem to have a clue what I do.

I’m quite certain that some who talk about politics like the prognosticator or pundit label. I’m not one of them. Here’s a…