Archive

Why Romney Is a Very Frail GOP Frontrunner

by Stuart Rothenberg February 7, 2011 · 9:00 AM EST

Unlike the Democrats, who almost always at least flirt with off-beat presidential hopefuls and sometimes even pick a nominee who started as a long shot for their nomination, Republicans have, over the past 50 years, generally preferred “the next guy in line” when they select their White House…

Beware of Ad Campaigns With More Bark Than Bite

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 4, 2011 · 9:44 AM EST

If a campaign ad airs and no one hears it, does it exist? Partisan strategists are determined to find out.

As part of a new “Drive to 25” campaign, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee unveiled an “advertising and grassroots campaign” to hold Republican incumbents “accountable for…

Are We Headed for Four Wave Elections in a Row?

by Stuart Rothenberg February 3, 2011 · 8:50 AM EST

Our current streak of “wave” elections — where one party experiences a net loss of at least 20 House seats and the other party has minimal losses — now stands at three (31 seats in 2006, 20 seats in 2008 and 63 seats in 2010), a remarkable string given our recent history of single-digit swings.

Montana Senate: Rehberg Moves Race to Toss-Up

February 1, 2011 · 11:19 AM EST

With Cong. Denny Rehberg set to announce his candidacy for the U.S. Senate, Republicans got their best possible candidate to take on first-term Sen. Jon Tester (D). Rehberg has been elected statewide in Montana’s at-large congressional district for a decade and early public polling shows him…

2012 Senate Ratings (February 1, 2011)

February 1, 2011 · 11:19 AM EST

2012 House Ratings (February 1, 2011)

February 1, 2011 · 11:18 AM EST

Forecasts of Obama Rebound a Bit Premature

by Stuart Rothenberg February 1, 2011 · 8:35 AM EST

President Barack Obama’s standing is too often being treated as the political equivalent of a bull market. His approval is rising. He is receiving praise for his rhetoric and strategic positioning. He has drawn kudos for personnel changes. Suddenly, we are told, his political future is bright.

2012 Senate Overview (January 28, 2011)

January 28, 2011 · 4:59 PM EST

Democrats lost six Senate seats last year -- and it could have been worse if tea party-backed candidates had not won contested Republican primaries in Delaware, Colorado and Nevada. The Senate race landscape starts off even more challenging for the DSCC this cycle, since Democrats now hold 23 of…

Liberal Blog: We Poll, You Decide

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 28, 2011 · 9:30 AM EST

If you weren’t buried in the avalanche of polling last cycle, beware: More numbers are on the way.

Daily Kos, one of the country’s best-known liberal blogs, recently started its weekly State of the Nation poll measuring President Barack Obama’s job approval rating and other national…