Archive

Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones

by Stuart Rothenberg October 8, 2015 · 11:18 AM EDT

Last month, national polls by CNN/ORC, Fox News and NBC News/Wall Street Journal got plenty of attention, and they certainly helped readers and viewers understand what is going on in the Republican and Democratic presidential contests.

But if history is any guide, early national polls are far less…

Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 7, 2015 · 10:54 AM EDT

Draft Biden PAC is gaining steam and staff in its unaffiliated effort to encourage Vice President Joe Biden to get into the presidential race, but it recently dismissed one of the group’s initial organizers after his past legal problems came to light.

Former congressional aide and campaign…

State Senator Prepares GOP Primary Challenge to Shimkus

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 6, 2015 · 2:18 PM EDT

State Sen. Kyle McCarter is poised to launch a primary challenge to GOP Sen. John Shimkus in Illinois’ 15th District later this week, according to GOP sources.

The news shouldn’t come as a complete surprise. McCarter has been openly discussing the possibility with fellow Illinois Republicans since…

Hassan’s Decision Changes Outlook in Two New Hampshire Races

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 5, 2015 · 12:02 PM EDT

After months of speculation, Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan announced her bid to challenge GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire, setting up what should be one of the most competitive senate races in the country. 

Hassan’s decision is yet another victory for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign…

Boehner’s Exit Leaves House Republicans With Challenging Next Chapter

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 1, 2015 · 4:00 PM EDT

It was only a matter of time before Speaker John Boehner decided to call it quits, but with another potential government shutdown looming, his recent resignation announcement still came as a surprise. Just hours after Pope Francis visited Capitol Hill, Boehner announced he is leaving Congress at…

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Ohio

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 1, 2015 · 3:59 PM EDT

Nearly a dozen years ago, Meet the Press moderator Tim Russert talked about “Ohio, Ohio, Ohio,” pointing to the importance of the Buckeye State in the 2004 presidential election. 

That race proved that Ohio can be an elusive target. Democrats believed the state was going to put John Kerry over the…

House Democrats Desperate to Make up Ground in New York

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 1, 2015 · 3:58 PM EDT

Democrats aren’t in imminent danger of losing a statewide race in New York, but they need to win far more House races in the Empire State if they want to be in the majority anytime soon. 

A combination of good Republican candidates, poor Democratic candidates and an underperforming governor in…

Report Shorts (October 1, 2015)

October 1, 2015 · 3:57 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District. Democrats are targeting GOP Rep. Martha McSally after she knocked off Democratic Rep. Ron Barber in a close race last year. Republicans recently released a handful of automated polls which showed McSally and some of her vulnerable colleagues start the general election in…