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2010 House Overview (October 28, 2010)

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October 28, 2010 · 11:43 PM EDT

More than a few Democratic veterans of the political wars are now talking about their party suffering extraordinary losses of at least 60 seats. The problem that both they and we see is that dozens of Democratic incumbents are sitting under 50% in ballot tests (and often in the mid-40s), even…

2010 House Ratings (October 28, 2010)

October 28, 2010 · 11:42 PM EDT

2010 Gubernatorial Overview (October 28, 2010)

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October 28, 2010 · 11:41 PM EDT

While Democrats are bracing for huge losses in the House and the Senate, things actually could have been worse for the President’s party in gubernatorial races. Make no mistake, Republicans are going to gain governorships, but with California moving to a likely takeover and Democratic candidates…

Will the House Losses Be Bad or Horrendous?

Stuart Rothenberg October 27, 2010 · 10:03 AM EDT

With a week to go until Election Day, House Democrats face the potential of a political bloodbath the size of which we haven’t seen since the presidency of Franklin Delano Roosevelt.

The largest midterm House loss for the president’s party during the last 50 years was 52 seats in 1994. The…

DCCC going on NYC television for Hall

October 25, 2010 · 4:23 PM EDT

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is slated to air ads, starting Tuesday, on broadcast television in the expensive New York City media market to help Cong. John Hall (D – 19th District).

Public and private polls show that Hall is locked in a very competitive race against GOP…

2010 Senate Overview (October 22, 2010)

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October 22, 2010 · 6:00 PM EDT

Reporters like to talk about “surges,” but at this point in the cycle most race changes are small unless some dramatic event causes voters to reassess their assumptions. Democrats seem to have improved their position a bit in Pennsylvania, Kentucky and Wisconsin, but the changes aren’t all that…

2010 House Overview (October 22, 2010)

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October 22, 2010 · 5:58 PM EDT

The number of Democratic incumbents who are sitting in the middle or low 40s in ballot tests is mind-boggling, creating a stunning number of opportunities for the GOP. Democrats dispute that assessment, arguing that their incumbents are much better off. But Republican polling finds eight or nine…